St. Gallen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
GCZ
2 - 1
STG
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
SER
3 - 1
STG
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
STG
7 - 0
YVE
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
GCZ
1 - 1
STG
56%
22%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
STG
4 - 0
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
SIO
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
SER
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
YVE
1 - 1
LUG
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 0
GCZ
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |