St. Gallen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
STG
1 - 4
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
YOB
0 - 0
STG
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
STG
2 - 0
FCW
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
FCL
3 - 1
STG
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
LUG
3 - 1
GCZ
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
LAU
3 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
LUG
3 - 0
NEX
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
FCA
1 - 1
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 0
SIO
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |