St. Gallen vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1991 |
STG
0 - 0
ZUR
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
SER
3 - 3
STG
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1991 |
STG
2 - 0
YOB
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
FCW
1 - 3
STG
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
FCA
0 - 1
SER
34%
26%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCA
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
LAU
5 - 0
FCA
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1991 |
FCA
2 - 0
FCW
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCA
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |