St. Gallen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
STG
0 - 4
FCL
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 3
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
STG
2 - 2
ZUR
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NEX
2 - 1
STG
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
SIO
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SIO
3 - 0
BAS
28%
24%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOB
49%
22%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |