Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
F95
1 - 1
SSV
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SSV
2 - 2
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
STP
2 - 0
SSV
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SSV
4 - 1
S04
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 3
SSV
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 4
PAD
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 1
F95
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ERZ
6 - 0
HAL
41%
23%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
3 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 3
SVS
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |