Jahn Regensburg vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2003 |
SSV
0 - 0
COT
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
M05
1 - 1
SSV
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
SSV
0 - 2
WAC
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
SSV
3 - 3
MSV
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
KSC
0 - 3
SSV
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
UNT
1 - 2
ERZ
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 0
LUB
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 2
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 1
ERZ
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |