Marignanese vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
MAR
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
FIO
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
ACA
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
PRO
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ACP
1 - 1
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MEZ
2 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
2 - 1
PRO
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |