Real Calepina vs Vis Nova Giussano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CRE
3 - 1
CAL
61%
20%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
SCA
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 0
CAL
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
SON
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
USP
0 - 1
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 3
SER
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
USB
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 5
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
CRE
3 - 1
NOV
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
TRI
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |