Città di Castello vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SSD
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 0
MUR
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 0
SSD
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 4
ALB
22%
21%
58%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 3
PIA
37%
27%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 0
ARZ
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 2
SPO
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 3
OST
37%
27%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RIE
5 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |