Castel San Pietro Terme vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
USR
1 - 1
CSP
66%
20%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
PDC
1 - 1
CSP
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CSP
0 - 1
PIS
14%
24%
63%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CSP
2 - 2
MPO
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSP
67%
21%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
ACC
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
USR
2 - 2
CAR
20%
25%
55%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
PDC
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ROV
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |