Farul Constanța vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
4º
4º
49
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 2
SFC
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SFC
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
CLU
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
UCL
1 - 0
SFC
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
GAL
74%
18%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 3
STB
55%
21%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
STB
2 - 1
SSG
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
4 - 0
STB
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
STB
1 - 0
PET
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 2
STB
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |