UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 1-3
Farul Constanța vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 1
SSG
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 5
BAN
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 0
SFC
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
POG
2 - 1
SFC
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
CSM
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 0
SHF
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SHF
4 - 0
MIL
64%
23%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
SHF
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SHF
0 - 0
ZIM
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
SHF
43%
25%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |