Virtus Lanciano vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
VIR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
PES
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 2
VIR
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAG
18%
27%
55%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 1
VIR
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 3
ASC
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
4 - 1
LIV
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAG
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAL
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LAT
3 - 1
LIV
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |