Virtus Lanciano vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CAV
0 - 2
VIR
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 0
RAV
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
RIM
0 - 0
VIR
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
TAR
40%
29%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
VIR
55%
25%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TER
0 - 1
REG
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
REG
2 - 0
PES
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 1
REG
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
REG
2 - 1
PES
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
GIU
1 - 0
REG
20%
28%
52%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |