Sambenedettese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ACM
1 - 0
SSS
84%
12%
5%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 2
SSS
59%
27%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
SSS
4 - 1
PAL
43%
32%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
ASC
0 - 0
SSS
68%
22%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
39%
34%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
SSB
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 0
USC
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
48%
29%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 0
PIS
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
VER
2 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |