Sambenedettese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
REG
5 - 3
SSS
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
SSS
0 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
NAP
4 - 0
SSS
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
PAR
3 - 1
SSS
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 1
ATL
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
COM
1 - 1
PAR
69%
18%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 5
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
PAR
3 - 1
SSS
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |