Sambenedettese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
23.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
COM
2 - 0
SSS
70%
22%
8%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
SSS
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
ATL
36%
32%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
SSS
2 - 1
PAL
41%
32%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 0
SSS
65%
23%
12%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 1
NOV
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
RIM
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
NOV
1 - 2
VIC
36%
30%
33%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
PES
1 - 0
NOV
53%
28%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NOV
1 - 0
ATL
43%
30%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |