Sambenedettese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
31%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
31%
20%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 2
BOL
41%
35%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAR
41%
33%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
PES
2 - 0
SSS
59%
27%
14%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 0
LAZ
39%
33%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAG
45%
30%
26%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
USC
3 - 0
MOD
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
MOD
2 - 1
PES
42%
31%
27%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
BAR
42%
33%
25%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |