Sambenedettese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
21%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAT
50%
31%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 1
SSS
63%
25%
13%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 0
TER
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
ASS
4 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 1
ATL
42%
32%
26%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
VIC
2 - 1
MOD
70%
21%
10%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
PES
36%
31%
33%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
MOD
73%
19%
9%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAL
49%
29%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |