Sambenedettese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SSS
2 - 1
VAR
32%
31%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 0
SSS
62%
24%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
TER
37%
32%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 0
SSS
47%
30%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 1
MOD
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 0
NOV
44%
30%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 2
GEN
39%
31%
30%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
MOD
69%
22%
10%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |