Sambenedettese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
BRE
0 - 0
SSS
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 0
VER
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
SSS
3 - 0
MOD
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
MAN
1 - 0
SSS
65%
19%
15%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
MES
6 - 1
ASS
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
MES
0 - 1
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
MOD
0 - 2
MES
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |