Sambenedettese vs Luco Canistro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ATE
1 - 1
SSS
27%
25%
47%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SSS
2 - 1
USV
75%
18%
8%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
RCS
0 - 3
SSS
17%
24%
60%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BFM
1 - 1
SSS
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SSS
0 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luco Canistro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 0
USV
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 2
LUC
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 1
CIV
32%
26%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TER
1 - 0
LUC
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 3
RCA
49%
25%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |