Sambenedettese vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
32.2%
Draw
0-0
16.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.2%
25.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ASS
0 - 1
SSS
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 0
VIC
40%
31%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
USC
1 - 1
SSS
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
EMP
44%
31%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 1
SSS
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ARZ
65%
23%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CAM
63%
24%
13%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 0
LAZ
49%
29%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAL
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
LAZ
2 - 0
MON
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |