Sambenedettese vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FAN
1 - 0
SSS
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SSS
3 - 0
FCC
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GIU
1 - 1
SSS
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SSS
4 - 1
OLY
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
SSS
15%
19%
67%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 2
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 2
CIV
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 1
VIS
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 0
CIV
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIV
30%
23%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |