Sambenedettese vs ASD Atletico Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ASG
1 - 1
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SSS
2 - 0
AVE
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VSU
5 - 2
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SSS
1 - 0
VAS
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 2
SSS
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ASD Atletico Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 0
BFM
9%
13%
77%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |