Serie D Group H Round 11

SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Nardò analysis

SS Manfredonia Calcio Nardò
37 ELO 40
6.3% Tilt -19.6%
5508º General ELO ranking 3225º
198º Country ELO ranking 109º
ELO win probability
52.8%
SS Manfredonia Calcio
23.1%
Draw
24%
Nardò

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
SS Manfredonia Calcio
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24%
Win probability
Nardò
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SS Manfredonia Calcio
-27%
-36%
Nardò

ELO progression

SS Manfredonia Calcio
Nardò
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SS Manfredonia Calcio
SS Manfredonia Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2016
MDC
Madrepietra Daunia
2 - 3
SS Manfredonia Calcio
SSM
29%
24%
47%
38 26 12 0
30 Oct. 2016
SSM
SS Manfredonia Calcio
3 - 3
Picerno
PIC
61%
19%
20%
38 35 3 0
23 Oct. 2016
AGR
Agropoli
3 - 1
SS Manfredonia Calcio
SSM
36%
27%
37%
40 33 7 -2
17 Oct. 2016
SSM
SS Manfredonia Calcio
2 - 1
Bisceglie
BIS
51%
23%
26%
39 40 1 +1
09 Oct. 2016
ANZ
Anzio
2 - 2
SS Manfredonia Calcio
SSM
16%
25%
59%
39 19 20 0

Matches

Nardò
Nardò
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2016
NAR
Nardò
0 - 2
Gelbison
GEL
43%
28%
29%
40 40 0 0
30 Oct. 2016
FBC
Gravina
0 - 2
Nardò
NAR
52%
22%
26%
39 39 0 +1
23 Oct. 2016
CSV
C.S. Vultur Rionero
0 - 0
Nardò
NAR
35%
23%
42%
39 32 7 0
16 Oct. 2016
NAR
Nardò
1 - 3
Nocerina
NOC
29%
27%
44%
41 45 4 -2
09 Oct. 2016
MDC
Madrepietra Daunia
0 - 1
Nardò
NAR
26%
23%
52%
40 28 12 +1