La Gauloise vs Saint-Pauloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Gauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 2
SLG
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SLG
1 - 3
EXC
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PSL
3 - 0
SLG
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SLG
0 - 3
PIE
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TAM
8 - 0
SLG
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAU
7 - 0
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TBF
0 - 2
PAU
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 0
RBC
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SDF
2 - 1
PAU
54%
22%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 2
PAU
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |