La Capricorne vs Saint-Pauloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 1
CAP
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 2
PSL
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SDF
2 - 1
CAP
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
ADM
0 - 2
CAP
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 4
TAM
40%
25%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PAU
3 - 0
ADM
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAU
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PAU
1 - 1
TAM
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
PAU
0 - 0
SDF
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PSL
2 - 1
PAU
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |