A Lyga Round 8

Kauno Žalgiris vs Dainava analysis

Kauno Žalgiris Dainava
77 ELO 62
-5.3% Tilt 9.5%
902º General ELO ranking 2193º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
68.8%
Kauno Žalgiris
20.2%
Draw
11%
Dainava

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
Kauno Žalgiris
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11%
Win probability
Dainava
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kauno Žalgiris
+25%
-23%
Dainava

Points and table prediction

Kauno Žalgiris
Their league position
Dainava
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
10º
45
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Zalgiris Vilnius
79
79
100%
FC Hegelmann
67
67
100%
Kauno Žalgiris
54
54
100%
Dainava
45
45
100%
Banga
43
43
100%
Siauliai
42
42
100%
Dziugas Telsiai
42
42
100%
FK Panevėžys
41
41
100%
Sūduva
39
39
100%
Transinvest Vilnius
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kauno Žalgiris
Dainava
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kauno Žalgiris
Dainava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2024
KZA
Kauno Žalgiris
3 - 0
Dziugas Telsiai
DTE
71%
20%
10%
77 60 17 0
07 Apr. 2024
KZA
Kauno Žalgiris
0 - 1
FK Panevėžys
PAN
43%
27%
31%
77 77 0 0
31 Mar. 2024
KZA
Kauno Žalgiris
0 - 1
Zalgiris Vilnius
ZAL
38%
26%
36%
77 77 0 0
17 Mar. 2024
FAS
Siauliai
2 - 1
Kauno Žalgiris
KZA
32%
26%
42%
77 73 4 0
12 Mar. 2024
KZA
Kauno Žalgiris
2 - 1
Transinvest Vilnius
FKT
61%
23%
16%
77 63 14 0

Matches

Dainava
Dainava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2024
HLI
FC Hegelmann
0 - 1
Dainava
DAI
73%
17%
10%
61 75 14 0
06 Apr. 2024
DAI
Dainava
2 - 2
Banga
BAN
47%
27%
26%
61 60 1 0
31 Mar. 2024
SUD
Sūduva
0 - 1
Dainava
DAI
46%
28%
26%
60 66 6 +1
17 Mar. 2024
FKT
Transinvest Vilnius
0 - 2
Dainava
DAI
51%
25%
24%
59 63 4 +1
13 Mar. 2024
DAI
Dainava
0 - 0
Dziugas Telsiai
DTE
47%
26%
27%
59 58 1 0