Spy vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
SPY
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPY
2 - 0
ARQ
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ENT
0 - 3
SPY
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPY
3 - 1
PES
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
JEM
2 - 2
SPY
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
RAN
4 - 0
LIG
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
LIG
0 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LIG
1 - 2
JEM
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AIS
5 - 2
LIG
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LIG
1 - 3
BIE
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |