Spy vs Fosses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 2
SPY
77%
14%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SPY
5 - 2
MOL
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 5
SPY
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SPY
3 - 3
NIS
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 2
SPY
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fosses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FOS
4 - 1
ARQ
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FOS
4 - 3
GRA
44%
22%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NIS
5 - 1
FOS
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FOS
0 - 2
LIG
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MEU
4 - 0
FOS
28%
21%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |