Spy vs Fosses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
65.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PES
3 - 1
SPY
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SPY
1 - 4
ARQ
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SPY
1 - 3
LOY
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SPY
0 - 1
NIS
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
JEM
2 - 1
SPY
22%
21%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fosses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FOS
2 - 4
LOY
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
FOS
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
FOS
4 - 3
CHE
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FOS
0 - 3
GRA
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BIE
1 - 2
FOS
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |