Spy vs Es de la Moligneé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
MEU
0 - 2
SPY
37%
21%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 2
SPY
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SPY
3 - 4
JOD
50%
20%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RAE
1 - 1
SPY
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OPP
3 - 1
SPY
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Es de la Moligneé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MOL
8 - 4
MAL
81%
11%
7%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BIE
4 - 1
MOL
57%
20%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
MOL
2 - 1
FEH
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NIS
2 - 2
MOL
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MOL
2 - 4
CHE
42%
21%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |