SpVgg Selbitz vs ASV Pegnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SVF
2 - 2
SVS
22%
21%
56%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SVS
5 - 2
SVS
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
QUF
1 - 2
SVS
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
TSB
1 - 1
SVS
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SVS
2 - 2
NEU
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Pegnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ASP
0 - 0
KOR
19%
20%
62%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SKA
4 - 1
ASP
30%
23%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASP
3 - 0
SVF
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
FVR
0 - 0
ASP
31%
23%
47%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SVS
5 - 2
ASP
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |