SpVgg Frechen vs Köln-Worringen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PES
1 - 1
SPF
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SPF
5 - 2
TSL
65%
19%
17%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TMA
1 - 1
SPF
38%
23%
39%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SPF
2 - 0
FVW
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TMO
3 - 0
SPF
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Köln-Worringen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PES
3 - 1
KOW
50%
22%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CRB
2 - 2
KOW
15%
19%
67%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
KOW
5 - 1
SHN
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
KOW
1 - 2
VLR
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TSL
8 - 2
KOW
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -2 |