SpVgg Frechen vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SPF
3 - 1
BFR
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SPF
3 - 1
DUS
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SPF
3 - 3
ALT
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 0
SPF
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SPF
2 - 1
PES
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
H05
0 - 0
BER
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BER
5 - 2
TDV
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 3
BER
48%
23%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BER
1 - 1
SPV
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
OFC
5 - 1
BER
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |