SpVg Porz 1919 vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
10º
16º
12º
64
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 73 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 60 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 53 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 51 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 49 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 49 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 35 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 34 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 31 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 25 |
15º
|
53.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 2
SPV
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FVE
4 - 3
SPV
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
SIE
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 1
SPV
59%
20%
22%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
VFL
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 2
SPF
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
0 - 3
BSC
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 0
KON
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
5 - 2
BSC
33%
23%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 1
MSV
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |