SpVg Porz 1919 vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
12º
56
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 2
SPV
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 0
BGP
12%
16%
71%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
USC
1 - 0
SPV
89%
8%
4%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SPV
0 - 1
SPF
12%
17%
72%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
3 - 2
SPV
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GET
1 - 3
BSC
22%
21%
58%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 1
KON
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 0
BSC
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 0
H05
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 3
BSC
14%
16%
70%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |