Sportivo Peñarol vs Deportivo Montecaseros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
SPE
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SPE
3 - 2
DEF
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
SPE
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 0
TRI
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SLR
1 - 1
SPE
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Montecaseros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
SPE
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MON
3 - 2
AND
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LCY
1 - 1
MON
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
PAC
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
RDM
3 - 0
MON
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |