Sportivo Peñarol vs Circulo Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CIP
3 - 0
SPE
59%
24%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 0
IND
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 1
CIP
42%
28%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
SDM
0 - 4
SPE
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NOB
2 - 0
SPE
84%
13%
3%
|
39 | 77 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 0
OLI
15%
22%
63%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
CDC
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
DCA
1 - 0
CDC
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
CDC
0 - 0
DES
43%
28%
29%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CSE
2 - 0
CDC
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |