Sportivo Peñarol vs Argentino Monte Maíz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
8º
9º
58
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CSE
4 - 1
SPE
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 2
FER
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SPE
1 - 1
ATE
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HHE
1 - 0
SPE
42%
28%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPE
3 - 1
SMA
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Argentino Monte Maíz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 2
CIB
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 1
CSE
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
CDA
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 0
ATE
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
HHE
1 - 1
CDA
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |