Sportivo Luqueño vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
7º
4º
25
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 45 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 38 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 33 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 23 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 22 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 21 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
LQE
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
LQE
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 1
JLM
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AME
1 - 3
LQE
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
LQE
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
OLI
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |