Sporting Toulon Var vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
AUX
0 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 3
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 3
SPO
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
SPO
3 - 0
STL
49%
28%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
LIL
1 - 0
SPO
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ASN
3 - 0
SOC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
ASN
1 - 0
PSG
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ASN
2 - 0
BRE
62%
21%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
NIC
3 - 1
ASN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |