Sporting San Miguelito vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
SFF
1 - 0
SMI
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 0
SMI
43%
29%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 1
SMI
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
SMI
5 - 0
AMA
71%
18%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 3
SMI
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ARA
2 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
ARA
4 - 0
AMA
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
AFC
1 - 3
ARA
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
ARA
2 - 3
TAU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |