Sporting Nava vs Sporting Riazano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASU
2 - 2
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 1
ASU
40%
21%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ASU
3 - 0
POL
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LAS
0 - 4
ASU
5%
11%
84%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ASU
1 - 1
MAT
41%
21%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Riazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 7
CUE
35%
20%
44%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
SPO
72%
18%
11%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 3
GIM
60%
20%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
SPO
33%
21%
47%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
CLA
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |