Third Division Luxembourg Serie 1 Round 1

Sporting Mertzig vs Lorentzweiler analysis

Sporting Mertzig Lorentzweiler
32 ELO 41
16.7% Tilt 11%
31427º General ELO ranking 29025º
79º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Sporting Mertzig
21.5%
Draw
45.6%
Lorentzweiler

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
Sporting Mertzig
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
45.6%
Win probability
Lorentzweiler
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Mertzig
+26%
-35%
Lorentzweiler

ELO progression

Sporting Mertzig
Lorentzweiler
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Mertzig
Sporting Mertzig
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2017
PRE
Pratzerthal-Redange
1 - 2
Sporting Mertzig
MER
38%
22%
40%
32 26 6 0
14 May. 2017
MER
Sporting Mertzig
5 - 3
Résidence Walferdange
RES
85%
11%
5%
32 19 13 0
07 May. 2017
ERP
Erpeldange
3 - 0
Sporting Mertzig
MER
77%
14%
9%
33 46 13 -1
03 May. 2017
MER
Sporting Mertzig
1 - 2
Alliance Aischdall
FCA
34%
23%
43%
34 41 7 -1
30 Apr. 2017
ALI
Alisontia Steinsel
5 - 2
Sporting Mertzig
MER
78%
14%
8%
34 50 16 0

Matches

Lorentzweiler
Lorentzweiler
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2017
RES
Résidence Walferdange
3 - 2
Lorentzweiler
LOR
8%
14%
78%
40 18 22 0
14 May. 2017
LOR
Lorentzweiler
7 - 4
Alliance Aischdall
FCA
39%
24%
37%
38 42 4 +2
07 May. 2017
ORA
Orania Vianden
1 - 2
Lorentzweiler
LOR
28%
21%
51%
38 30 8 0
03 May. 2017
LOR
Lorentzweiler
1 - 0
Kehlen
KEH
63%
20%
18%
37 34 3 +1
30 Apr. 2017
BAS
Bastendorf
3 - 1
Lorentzweiler
LOR
43%
22%
35%
38 38 0 -1