Sporting Mertzig vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 3
MER
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 2
FEU
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ATE
5 - 0
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
KEH
1 - 2
MER
57%
21%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MER
7 - 0
ORA
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 1
JEU
24%
22%
55%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PRE
3 - 1
LOR
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 3
MLI
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 8
MAR
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
WIN
3 - 1
LOR
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |