Sporting Mertzig vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
KEH
5 - 2
MER
71%
17%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MER
2 - 1
FCA
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 1
MER
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MER
1 - 1
HOS
60%
19%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BOE
1 - 4
MER
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ERP
2 - 1
FCA
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HOS
2 - 0
ERP
51%
19%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ERP
1 - 3
JUS
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MLI
6 - 0
ERP
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ERP
2 - 2
BER
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |