Sporting Malpartida vs Esparragosa de Lares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SPH
4 - 1
SMA
47%
21%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
4 - 0
SMA
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SMA
2 - 1
SIR
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
SMA
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 4
SMA
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Esparragosa de Lares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ELA
2 - 2
FMO
36%
22%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ELA
2 - 1
CDB
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
3 - 1
ELA
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ELA
2 - 2
TOR
20%
20%
61%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ELA
3 - 4
SBA
15%
19%
66%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |