Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
55.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-117%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SMA
3 - 1
MAC
76%
14%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
PSP
1 - 7
SMA
6%
13%
81%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
WAK
36%
21%
43%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
CHF
4 - 2
SMA
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
CDT
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
WAK
0 - 2
MCA
28%
22%
50%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
MCA
5 - 1
MAC
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
PSP
0 - 3
MCA
4%
9%
87%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
CDT
0 - 0
MCA
12%
14%
74%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
MCA
2 - 0
BEN
16%
18%
67%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +4 |